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🌐 2021 Consensus Mock Draft vs Actual Results
What everyone thought would happen — and what actually did. Pick whose mocks make up the consensus: the 13 analysts MDS tracks pick-by-pick (a sample that skews toward widely-read, high-ranking analysts — not all 203+ scored analysts), the community's saved mocks, or any mix. Compare against MDDB's 100+-analyst consensus and see how accurate mock drafts really are.
Build your consensus — whose mocks count?
All Analysts (13)
Compare against
🏛️ MDDB Consensus
Scores out of 96 (Huddle Report) · per pick max 3
Consensus Score
48
would rank ~#13 of 84 analysts
Consensus R1 Right
25
of 31 unique players picked
Best call
#4 Pitts
92% agreement — nailed it
Biggest miss
#22 Moore
46% agreed — went #34
MDDB Consensus Score
60
would rank ~#1 of 84 analysts
MDDB Consensus R1 Right
28
of 32 picks
| Pick | Team | Consensus Pick | # Mocked | Consensus Pts | MDDB Pick ↗ | MDDB Pts | Actual Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  JAX | Trevor LawrenceQB | 13 of 13 (100%) | ✓ 3 | Trevor LawrenceQB | ✓ 3 | JAXTrevor LawrenceQB |
| 2 |  NYJ | Zach WilsonQB | 13 of 13 (100%) | ✓ 3 | Zach WilsonQB | ✓ 3 | NYJZach WilsonQB |
| 3 |  SF | Mac JonesQB | 8 of 13 (62%) | ◐ 1 | Mac JonesQB | ◐ 1 | SFTrey LanceQB |
| 4 |  ATL | Kyle PittsTE | 12 of 13 (92%) | ✓ 3 | Kyle PittsTE | ✓ 3 | ATLKyle PittsTE |
| 5 |  CIN | Ja'Marr ChaseWR | 10 of 13 (77%) | ✓ 3 | Ja'Marr ChaseWR | ✓ 3 | CINJa'Marr ChaseWR |
| 6 |  MIA | Jaylen WaddleWR | 6 of 13 (46%) | ✓ 3 | Jaylen WaddleWR | ✓ 3 | MIAJaylen WaddleWR |
| 7 |  DET | Penei SewellOT | 6 of 13 (46%) | ✓ 3 | Penei SewellOT | ✓ 3 | DETPenei SewellOT |
| 8 |  CAR | Jaycee HornCB | 4 of 13 (31%) | ✓ 3 | Rashawn SlaterOT | ◐ 1 | CARJaycee HornCB |
| 9 |  DEN | Justin FieldsQB | 6 of 13 (46%) | ◐ 1 | Trey LanceQB | ◐ 1 | DENPatrick Surtain IICB |
| 10 |  DAL | Patrick Surtain IICB | 10 of 13 (77%) | ◐ 1 | Patrick Surtain IICB | ◐ 1 |  PHIDeVonta SmithWR |
| 11 |  NYG | 4 of 13 (31%) | ◐ 1 ◐ 1 | DeVonta SmithWR | ◐ 1 |  CHIJustin FieldsQB | |
| 12 | PHI | 3 of 13 (23%) | ◐ 1 ◐ 1 | Jaycee HornCB | ◐ 1 | DALMicah ParsonsLB | |
| 13 |  LAC | Rashawn SlaterOT | 6 of 13 (46%) | ✓ 3 | Christian DarrisawOT | ◐ 1 | LACRashawn SlaterOT |
| 14 |  MIN | Jaelan PhillipsEDGE | 5 of 13 (38%) | ◐ 1 | Alijah Vera-TuckerG | ✓ 1 | NYJAlijah Vera-TuckerG |
| 15 |  NE | Micah ParsonsLB | 4 of 13 (31%) | ◐ 1 | Justin FieldsQB | ◐ 1 | NEMac JonesQB |
| 16 |  ARI | Zaven CollinsOLB | 8 of 13 (62%) | ✓ 3 | Zaven CollinsOLB | ✓ 3 | ARIZaven CollinsOLB |
| 17 |  LV | 3 of 13 (23%) | ◐ 1 ◐ 1 ✗ 0 | Micah ParsonsLB | ◐ 1 | LVAlex LeatherwoodOT | |
| 18 | MIA | Kwity PayeEDGE | 7 of 13 (54%) | ◐ 1 | Jaelan PhillipsEDGE | ✓ 3 | MIAJaelan PhillipsEDGE |
| 19 |  WAS | 4 of 13 (31%) | ✓ 3 ✗ 0 | Jeremiah Owusu-KoramoahLB | ✗ 0 | WASJamin DavisLB | |
| 20 | CHI | Teven JenkinsOT | 4 of 13 (31%) | ✗ 0 | Teven JenkinsOT | ✗ 0 | NYGKadarius ToneyWR |
| 21 |  IND | Jaelan PhillipsEDGE | 5 of 13 (38%) | ◐ 1 | Kwity PayeEDGE | ✓ 3 | INDKwity PayeEDGE |
| 22 |  TEN | Elijah MooreWR | 6 of 13 (46%) | ✗ 0 | Caleb FarleyCB | ✓ 3 | TENCaleb FarleyCB |
| 23 | NYJ | Travis EtienneRB | 4 of 13 (31%) | ◐ 1 | Greg Newsome IICB | ◐ 1 | MINChristian DarrisawOT |
| 24 |  PIT | Najee HarrisRB | 8 of 13 (62%) | ✓ 3 | Najee HarrisRB | ✓ 3 | PITNajee HarrisRB |
| 25 | JAX | 2 of 13 (15%) | ✗ 0 ◐ 1 ✗ 0 ✗ 0 | Travis EtienneRB | ✓ 3 | JAXTravis EtienneRB | |
| 26 |  CLE | Jamin DavisLB | 5 of 13 (38%) | ◐ 1 | Trevon MoehrigS | ✗ 0 | CLEGreg Newsome IICB |
| 27 |  BAL | Odafe OwehEDGE | 5 of 13 (38%) | ◐ 3 | Rashod BatemanWR | ✓ 3 | BALRashod BatemanWR |
| 28 |  NO | Caleb FarleyCB | 3 of 13 (23%) | ◐ 1 | Kadarius ToneyWR | ◐ 1 | NOPayton TurnerEDGE |
| 29 |  GB | Rashod BatemanWR | 4 of 13 (31%) | ◐ 1 | Samuel CosmiOT | ✗ 0 | GBEric StokesCB |
| 30 |  BUF | Asante Samuel Jr.CB | 4 of 13 (31%) | ✗ 0 | Gregory RousseauEDGE | ✓ 3 | BUFGregory RousseauEDGE |
| 31 | BAL | Liam EichenbergOT | 3 of 13 (23%) | ✗ 0 | Odafe OwehEDGE | ✓ 3 | BALOdafe OwehEDGE |
| 32 |  TB | Joe Tryon-ShoyinkaEDGE | 4 of 13 (31%) | ✓ 3 | Joe Tryon-ShoyinkaEDGE | ✓ 3 | TBJoe Tryon-ShoyinkaEDGE |
✓ exact call · ◐ right player, wrong slot (still Round 1) · ✗ fell out of Round 1. Points use the Huddle Report method (1 pt right player in R1, +2 team match) — switch methods with the scoring selector in the navbar. Split slots (5) show every tied pick, and the slot scores the average of them — a 2-way split where the picks earn 3 and 1 counts as 2, so a tie never earns double credit. Because each slot's consensus is computed independently, the same player can appear at multiple slots — something no real mock draft allows — so only a player's best-scoring slot counts toward the totals (the per-row points still show what each slot would have earned).
How the Consensus Mock Draft Works
The consensus takes the final first-round mock from every selected source — tracked analysts, community members, or your own custom mix — and finds the most-predicted player at each slot. When sources tie, the slot shows a split with every tied pick. Each consensus pick is graded against the actual draft with the same scoring systems used on the accuracy leaderboard — so you can see whether the hive mind beats the individual experts.
Compare your consensus against the MDDB professional consensus mock, dig into accuracy by pick range, then build your own mock draft and decide where to follow the crowd and where to break from consensus.