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🌐 2024 Consensus Mock Draft vs Actual Results
What everyone thought would happen — and what actually did. Pick whose mocks make up the consensus: the 18 analysts MDS tracks pick-by-pick (a sample that skews toward widely-read, high-ranking analysts — not all 203+ scored analysts), the community's saved mocks, or any mix. Compare against MDDB's 100+-analyst consensus and see how accurate mock drafts really are.
Build your consensus — whose mocks count?
All Analysts (18)
Compare against
🏛️ MDDB Consensus
Scores out of 96 (Huddle Report) · per pick max 3
Consensus Score
46
would rank ~#29 of 152 analysts
Consensus R1 Right
24
of 28 unique players picked
Best call
#4 Harrison
89% agreement — nailed it
Biggest miss
#25 DeJean
44% agreed — went #40
MDDB Consensus Score
41
would rank ~#95 of 152 analysts
MDDB Consensus R1 Right
27
of 32 picks
| Pick | Team | Consensus Pick | # Mocked | Consensus Pts | MDDB Pick ↗ | MDDB Pts | Actual Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  CHI | Caleb WilliamsQB | 18 of 18 (100%) | ✓ 3 | Caleb WilliamsQB | ✓ 3 | CHICaleb WilliamsQB |
| 2 |  WAS | Jayden DanielsQB | 17 of 18 (94%) | ✓ 3 | Jayden DanielsQB | ✓ 3 | WASJayden DanielsQB |
| 3 |  NE | Drake MayeQB | 17 of 18 (94%) | ✓ 3 | Drake MayeQB | ✓ 3 | NEDrake MayeQB |
| 4 |  ARI | Marvin Harrison Jr.WR | 16 of 18 (89%) | ✓ 3 | Marvin Harrison Jr.WR | ✓ 3 | ARIMarvin Harrison Jr.WR |
| 5 |  LAC | 6 of 18 (33%) | ◐ 1 ◐ 1 | Malik NabersWR | ◐ 1 | LACJoe AltOT | |
| 6 |  NYG | Malik NabersWR | 12 of 18 (67%) | ✓ 3 | Rome OdunzeWR | ◐ 1 | NYGMalik NabersWR |
| 7 |  TEN | Joe AltOT | 13 of 18 (72%) | ◐ 1 | Joe AltOT | ◐ 1 | TENJC LathamOT |
| 8 |  ATL | Dallas TurnerEDGE | 8 of 18 (44%) | ◐ 1 | Dallas TurnerEDGE | ◐ 1 | ATLMichael Penix Jr.QB |
| 9 | CHI | Rome OdunzeWR | 7 of 18 (39%) | ✓ 3 | Jared VerseEDGE | ◐ 1 | CHIRome OdunzeWR |
| 10 |  NYJ | Brock BowersTE | 6 of 18 (33%) | ◐ 1 | Brock BowersTE | ◐ 1 |  MINJ.J. McCarthyQB |
| 11 | MIN | 7 of 18 (39%) | ◐ 3 ◐ 1 | J.J. McCarthyQB | ◐ 3 | NYJOlumuyiwa FashanuOT | |
| 12 |  DEN | Bo NixQB | 5 of 18 (28%) | ✓ 3 | Bo NixQB | ✓ 3 | DENBo NixQB |
| 13 |  LV | 4 of 18 (22%) | ◐ 1 ◐ 1 | Michael Penix Jr.QB | ◐ 1 | LVBrock BowersTE | |
| 14 |  NO | Olumuyiwa FashanuOT | 12 of 18 (67%) | ◐ 1 | Olumuyiwa FashanuOT | ◐ 1 | NOTaliese FuagaOT |
| 15 |  IND | Brock BowersTE | 5 of 18 (28%) | ◐ 1 | Quinyon MitchellCB | ◐ 1 | INDLaiatu LatuEDGE |
| 16 |  SEA | Byron Murphy IIDT | 6 of 18 (33%) | ✓ 3 | Troy FautanuOT | ◐ 1 | SEAByron Murphy IIDT |
| 17 |  JAX | Terrion ArnoldCB | 7 of 18 (39%) | ◐ 1 | Terrion ArnoldCB | ◐ 1 | MINDallas TurnerEDGE |
| 18 |  CIN | Taliese FuagaOT | 6 of 18 (33%) | ◐ 1 | JC LathamOT | ◐ 1 | CINAmarius MimsOT |
| 19 |  LAR | Jared VerseEDGE | 5 of 18 (28%) | ✓ 3 | Laiatu LatuEDGE | ◐ 1 | LARJared VerseEDGE |
| 20 |  PIT | Graham BartonC | 11 of 18 (61%) | ◐ 1 | Amarius MimsOT | ◐ 1 | PITTroy FautanuOT |
| 21 |  MIA | Jared VerseEDGE | 6 of 18 (33%) | ◐ 1 | Graham BartonC | ◐ 1 | MIAChop RobinsonEDGE |
| 22 |  PHI | Cooper DeJeanCB | 6 of 18 (33%) | ✗ 0 | Nate WigginsCB | ◐ 1 | PHIQuinyon MitchellCB |
| 23 | MIN | Jer'Zhan NewtonDT | 4 of 18 (22%) | ✗ 0 | Jer'Zhan NewtonDT | ✗ 0 | JAXBrian Thomas Jr.WR |
| 24 |  DAL | Tyler GuytonOT | 11 of 18 (61%) | ◐ 3 | Jackson Powers-JohnsonC | ✗ 0 |  DETTerrion ArnoldCB |
| 25 |  GB | Cooper DeJeanCB | 8 of 18 (44%) | ✗ 0 | Cooper DeJeanCB | ✗ 0 | GBJordan MorganOT |
| 26 |  TB | Chop RobinsonEDGE | 7 of 18 (39%) | ◐ 1 | Chop RobinsonEDGE | ◐ 1 | TBGraham BartonC |
| 27 | ARI | Darius RobinsonEDGE | 8 of 18 (44%) | ✓ 3 | Kool-Aid McKinstryCB | ✗ 0 | ARIDarius RobinsonEDGE |
| 28 |  BUF | Brian Thomas Jr.WR | 12 of 18 (67%) | ◐ 1 | Adonai MitchellWR | ✗ 0 |  KCXavier WorthyWR |
| 29 | DET | Kool-Aid McKinstryCB | 5 of 18 (28%) | ✗ 0 | Darius RobinsonEDGE | ◐ 1 | DALTyler GuytonOT |
| 30 |  BAL | Jordan MorganOT | 4 of 18 (22%) | ◐ 1 | Tyler GuytonOT | ◐ 1 | BALNate WigginsCB |
| 31 |  SF | Michael Penix Jr.QB | 4 of 18 (22%) | ◐ 1 | Jordan MorganOT | ◐ 1 | SFRicky PearsallWR |
| 32 | KC | Kingsley SuamataiaOT | 7 of 18 (39%) | ✗ 0 | Xavier WorthyWR | ◐ 3 |  CARXavier LegetteWR |
✓ exact call · ◐ right player, wrong slot (still Round 1) · ✗ fell out of Round 1. Points use the Huddle Report method (1 pt right player in R1, +2 team match) — switch methods with the scoring selector in the navbar. Split slots (3) show every tied pick, and the slot scores the average of them — a 2-way split where the picks earn 3 and 1 counts as 2, so a tie never earns double credit. Because each slot's consensus is computed independently, the same player can appear at multiple slots — something no real mock draft allows — so only a player's best-scoring slot counts toward the totals (the per-row points still show what each slot would have earned).
How the Consensus Mock Draft Works
The consensus takes the final first-round mock from every selected source — tracked analysts, community members, or your own custom mix — and finds the most-predicted player at each slot. When sources tie, the slot shows a split with every tied pick. Each consensus pick is graded against the actual draft with the same scoring systems used on the accuracy leaderboard — so you can see whether the hive mind beats the individual experts.
Compare your consensus against the MDDB professional consensus mock, dig into accuracy by pick range, then build your own mock draft and decide where to follow the crowd and where to break from consensus.