Analysisβ€ΊMDDBβ€ΊBig Board Accuracyβ€Ί2021
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2021 Consensus Big Board Accuracy

In 2021, 26 of 32 consensus top-32 prospects were drafted in Round 1 β€” a 81% hit rate. MDDB 2021 board β†—

202126/32 hit (81%)MDDB 2021 board β†—

❌ Board misses β€” top-32 players who did NOT go in R1 (6)

Board RankPlayerPosWhere They WentReason
#18Jeremiah Owusu-KoramoahLBR2 #52heart condition concerns
#21Teven JenkinsOTR2 #39back injury concerns
#23Azeez OjulariEDGER2 #50knee injury history
#26Christian BarmoreDTR2 #38deep DT class
#28Trevon MoehrigSR2 #33safety devalued
#31Elijah MooreWRR2 #34small school size

🎯 Off-board R1 picks β€” teams reached beyond the top 32 (6)

Board RankPlayerPosWhere They Went
#33Travis EtienneRBR1 #25 Β· JAX
#34Kadarius ToneyWRR1 #20 Β· NYG
#38Alex LeatherwoodOTR1 #17 Β· LV
#39Joe Tryon-ShoyinkaEDGER1 #32 Β· TB
#44Eric StokesCBR1 #29 Β· GB
β€”Payton TurnerEDGER1 #28 Β· NO

Methodology

"Accuracy" = of the 32 players ranked in the MDDB consensus top 32, how many were actually selected with picks 1–32 on draft day. The board is typically finalized in the week before the draft. 2023 uses 31 R1 picks (Miami forfeited their first-rounder as a tampering penalty). Data sourced from MDDB, ESPN, NFL.com, and Wikipedia draft recaps.