Analysis›MDDB›Big Board Accuracy›2022

2022 Consensus Big Board Accuracy

In 2022, 28 of 32 consensus top-32 prospects were drafted in Round 1 — a 88% hit rate. MDDB 2022 board ↗

202228/32 hit (88%)MDDB 2022 board ↗

❌ Board misses — top-32 players who did NOT go in R1 (4)

Board Rank	Player	Pos	Where They Went	Reason
#10	Malik Willis	QB	R3 #86	accuracy concerns
#26	Andrew Booth Jr.	CB	R2 #42	hamstring injury
#31	Desmond Ridder	QB	R3 #74	weak QB class
#32	Nakobe Dean	LB	R3 #83	knee/size concerns

🎯 Off-board R1 picks — teams reached beyond the top 32 (4)

Board Rank	Player	Pos	Where They Went
#34	Lewis Cine	S	R1 #32 · MIN
#35	Tyler Smith	OT	R1 #24 · DAL
#39	Quay Walker	LB	R1 #22 · GB
—	Cole Strange	G	R1 #29 · NE

Methodology

"Accuracy" = of the 32 players ranked in the MDDB consensus top 32, how many were actually selected with picks 1–32 on draft day. The board is typically finalized in the week before the draft. 2023 uses 31 R1 picks (Miami forfeited their first-rounder as a tampering penalty). Data sourced from MDDB, ESPN, NFL.com, and Wikipedia draft recaps.