Analysis›MDDB›Big Board Accuracy›2023

2023 Consensus Big Board Accuracy

In 2023, 26 of 31 consensus top-32 prospects were drafted in Round 1 — a 84% hit rate. MDDB 2023 board ↗

202326/32 hit (84%)MDDB 2023 board ↗

⚠ 2023 had only 31 R1 picks — Miami forfeited their selection.

❌ Board misses — top-32 players who did NOT go in R1 (5)

Board Rank	Player	Pos	Where They Went	Reason
#6	Will Levis	QB	R2 #33	fell to R2 despite top-6 board rank
#18	Joey Porter Jr.	CB	R2 #32	slid barely past R1
#22	Michael Mayer	TE	R2 #35	TE devalued in R1
#25	Brian Branch	S	R2 #45	tweener DB/S profile
#31	Hendon Hooker	QB	R3 #68	torn ACL

🎯 Off-board R1 picks — teams reached beyond the top 32 (5)

Board Rank	Player	Pos	Where They Went
#33	Jahmyr Gibbs	RB	R1 #12 · DET
#34	Will McDonald IV	EDGE	R1 #13 · NYJ
#35	Mazi Smith	DT	R1 #26 · DAL
#45	Jack Campbell	LB	R1 #18 · DET
#46	Felix Anudike-Uzomah	EDGE	R1 #31 · KC

Methodology

"Accuracy" = of the 32 players ranked in the MDDB consensus top 32, how many were actually selected with picks 1–32 on draft day. The board is typically finalized in the week before the draft. 2023 uses 31 R1 picks (Miami forfeited their first-rounder as a tampering penalty). Data sourced from MDDB, ESPN, NFL.com, and Wikipedia draft recaps.