Analysisβ€ΊMDDBβ€ΊBig Board Accuracyβ€Ί2024
20252024202320222021

2024 Consensus Big Board Accuracy

In 2024, 26 of 32 consensus top-32 prospects were drafted in Round 1 β€” a 81% hit rate. MDDB 2024 board β†—

202426/32 hit (81%)MDDB 2024 board β†—

❌ Board misses β€” top-32 players who did NOT go in R1 (6)

Board RankPlayerPosWhere They WentReason
#22Cooper DeJeanCBR2 #40position versatility
#24Jer'Zhan NewtonDTR2 #36undersized for DT
#27Demetrius RobinsonWRundraftedwent undrafted
#28Kool-Aid McKinstryCBR2 #41deep CB class
#30Adonai MitchellWRR2 #52route-running concerns
#31Jackson Powers-JohnsonCR2 #44center devalued in R1

🎯 Off-board R1 picks β€” teams reached beyond the top 32 (6)

Board RankPlayerPosWhere They Went
#33Xavier WorthyWRR1 #28 Β· KC
#34Darius RobinsonDTR1 #27 Β· ARI
#35Jordan MorganOTR1 #25 Β· GB
#40Xavier LegetteWRR1 #32 Β· CAR
β€”Chop RobinsonEDGER1 #21 Β· MIA
β€”Ricky PearsallWRR1 #31 Β· SF

Methodology

"Accuracy" = of the 32 players ranked in the MDDB consensus top 32, how many were actually selected with picks 1–32 on draft day. The board is typically finalized in the week before the draft. 2023 uses 31 R1 picks (Miami forfeited their first-rounder as a tampering penalty). Data sourced from MDDB, ESPN, NFL.com, and Wikipedia draft recaps.