Analysis›MDDB›Big Board Accuracy›2025

2025 Consensus Big Board Accuracy

In 2025, 27 of 32 consensus top-32 prospects were drafted in Round 1 — a 84% hit rate. MDDB 2025 board ↗

202527/32 hit (84%)MDDB 2025 board ↗

❌ Board misses — top-32 players who did NOT go in R1 (5)

Board Rank	Player	Pos	Where They Went	Reason
#12	Shedeur Sanders	QB	R2 #37	scheme fit concerns
#13	Will Johnson	CB	R2 #47	foot injury / no combine
#17	Mike Green	EDGE	R2 #59	off-field allegations
#29	Donovan Ezeiruaku	EDGE	R2 #55	one-year production
#30	Nick Emmanwori	S	R2 #46	coverage concerns

🎯 Off-board R1 picks — teams reached beyond the top 32 (5)

Board Rank	Player	Pos	Where They Went
#33	Jaxson Dart	QB	R1 #25 · NYG
#34	Maxwell Hairston	CB	R1 #30 · BUF
#35	Josh Conerly Jr.	OT	R1 #29 · WAS
#39	Donovan Jackson	G	R1 #24 · MIN
#44	Tyleik Williams	DT	R1 #28 · DET

Methodology

"Accuracy" = of the 32 players ranked in the MDDB consensus top 32, how many were actually selected with picks 1–32 on draft day. The board is typically finalized in the week before the draft. 2023 uses 31 R1 picks (Miami forfeited their first-rounder as a tampering penalty). Data sourced from MDDB, ESPN, NFL.com, and Wikipedia draft recaps.