Analysis›MDDB›Big Board Accuracy›2026

2026 Consensus Big Board Accuracy

In 2026, 27 of 32 consensus top-32 prospects were drafted in Round 1 — a 84% hit rate. MDDB 2026 board ↗

202627/32 hit (84%)MDDB 2026 board ↗

❌ Board misses — top-32 players who did NOT go in R1 (5)

Board Rank	Player	Pos	Where They Went	Reason
#17	Jermod McCoy	CB	R2+	fell out of R1
#25	Denzel Boston	WR	R2+	deep WR class
#26	Emmanuel McNeil-Warren	S	R2+	safety devalued
#28	Kayden McDonald	DT	R2+	fell out of R1
#31	TJ Parker	EDGE	R2+	deep EDGE class

🎯 Off-board R1 picks — teams reached beyond the top 32 (5)

Board Rank	Player	Pos	Where They Went
#35	Chris Johnson	CB	R1 #27 · MIA
#37	Malachi Lawrence	EDGE	R1 #23 · DAL
#43	Jadarian Price	RB	R1 #32 · SEA
#44	Caleb Banks	DT	R1 #18 · MIN
#51	Keylan Rutledge	G	R1 #26 · HOU

Methodology

"Accuracy" = of the 32 players ranked in the MDDB consensus top 32, how many were actually selected with picks 1–32 on draft day. The board is typically finalized in the week before the draft. 2023 uses 31 R1 picks (Miami forfeited their first-rounder as a tampering penalty). Data sourced from MDDB, ESPN, NFL.com, and Wikipedia draft recaps.